So is SBS 2008 dead?

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You guys read way too much into my postings.

For the record, I never said that SBS 2008 is dead. I did however say that the business model that exists around solely deploying and configuring an SBS network (be it 2003, or 2008 or even a Linux powered SOHO/SMB shop) is no longer a viable way to stay in business. Many of your garden variety SBSers came to the party because they were workstation or network geeks to begin with and with the help of the community and properly designed SMB product started rolling out servers.

Some remained there. Now they are either unemployed or working for $40K a year. Never underestimate just how much work is needed, even at $85-$100/hr to generate a decent salary. Those that took their lifestyle over their profession and didn’t train, expand, hire, specialize and expand offerings and lived simply on the endless demand for technology are now making their first sales, marketing and HR efforts and doing so with the tools that are only good in a market with a ton of demand and little skilled supply. You know the pitch: “Nobody knows how good you are before they hire you” which works to get your foot in the door. But when people cut down their IT funds, try to do more on their own, refuse to sign long term managed services contracts and try to haggle down on the cost of the services you are already providing because the very solution you brought into their business is now offering to undercut you?

But.. but.. but.. I’m a trusted advisor. Yeah. But times are tough and we’ve had to let go of a few people and we love you but we need to stay in business.

This is the kind of a thing you need to start thinking about before it happens. Like when all the banks failed. Like when the media started covering businesses, plants and sales falling to the oblivion. Like when Microsoft raised it’s middle finger to all it’s partners at WPC 2007 and then raised both middle fingers in the air at WPC 2008 and told us all they will compete with us directly. When Dell went after the MSPs and started undercutting their partners, jacking their deals and trying to push their services directly to the customer?

You see, when businesses are doing really well they are busy and are willing to do what it takes to get through obstacles quickly so they can go about their business. This involves outsourcing, building, investing, contracts, additional tools and spending money to make money.  

When things start to shrink the mindset changes, completely.

What can you learn from all this…

Well, for one, that planning and running a sound business is not a function of your convenience or lifestyle preference or inability or unwillingness to run a business. You are either seriously running your business and all aspects it entails – from reading business journals to studying the history to understanding global trends to monitoring your competitors activity and copying the successful business models. In ALL areas of the business – not just your ability to print a business card and send a SPAM mailer. You are in business first, an IT person second. If you disagree with that, look for a job.

Second, that Microsoft really messed up the timing to flip off all it’s partners and release an infrastructure product less than a week before saying that they will target the same audience with a product partners will have no play in. Oh, and the economy thing.

Third, that Microsoft – through its tradition of lopsided history of being both channel focused and anticompetitive monopoly being prosecuted and monitored on all continents – created the same quagmire they have in the enterprise down here in the SMB market. Through their actions they have lost the VAR loyalty that took years to build and the savvy (or shall I say only) remaining VARs are in a strong position and don’t see Microsoft or SBS for that matter as anything other than raw infrastructure components to deliver solutions on. Microsoft’s sales pitch has always been “Just Microsoft, ALL Microsoft” where the product in the box was all you needed, and the partners did the dirty job of getting it all to work. The savvy ones built solutions on top of it to the point that the underlying features of the new Microsoft releases don’t quite matter – the management of whats there matters – so the hero of the day is the IT company that mitigated the huge Internet Explorer hole the day it was announced, before it hit all the news.

Think about it this way though – let’s say you built a CRM or business automation process on top of SBS – your check comes in every month that the pile keeps on functioning and driving the business. What is your incentive to give Microsoft money? What is your incentive to spend hours upon hours of project work, which may not pan out in the best way possible, to upgrade what is essentially the guts of the real solution seen by your clients. That is why SBS 2008 isn’t being taken up, the remaining IT companies are headed by smart people that have seen this one coming.

This isn’t bragging, this isn’t gloating, this isn’t picking. This is the documentation of the IT business reality that we have in the SMB sector, so those of us that are thriving today don’t stop for a second to pound our chest about just how great and awesome we are – we need to look at the failures as much as we focus on success so we don’t end up in the same unfortunate spot others are in right now.

The tide is ALWAYS rising.

Finally, to answer your question directly. Is SBS 2008 dead? No. It’s just that Microsoft’s story no longer matters, it’s all about how the solution provider delivers the solution that address direct (and highly painful) problems not what Microsoft wants people to adapt to.

Something Constructive

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In the past, I’d get pissed off at people trying to knock a chip off my shoulder. These days, all I can do is laugh and try to write a blog post while sounding out each word like Andrew Dice Clay. From the drowning well of misfortunate consultants:

Instead of gloating, why don’t you do something constructive and tell us stragglers how to improve our business?

Gloating, eh? Sorry, I don’t see it that way. Let’s review some facts: I don’t have a conference to pitch. I don’t have a book or a seminar to sign you up for. I don’t have a peer group that you need to join. So as you can tell, I have little incentive to blow smoke up your butt and gloss over the things that are going wrong. About all I have is the OWN Partner Program and if you’ve offended by Vladville then stay the heck away from it. Google anti-marketing.

So let’s check the score, for those of you looking up at the board in the 4th quarter – this blog has been here for over three years with daily (sometimes more, sometimes less) updates on the technology, business ideas and concepts. They are here, in the open, for your review. If you choose to use them, more power to you. If you choose to ignore them, your call. It’s not a get-rich-quick scheme….

So much for being constructive. I’ve been outlining things for years, getting in heated arguments with the newsgroup riffraff, meeting people and speaking at conferences… and just about every step of the way had more objections about how people like me have no idea what the “real” SMB needs are. You know who you are.

Microsoft will never compete with us, they need us to sell their servers….

We build, support and manage SBS networks…….

We are trying to transition to managed services, but it’s going a little slow……

I love all the resources but I don’t have the time to follow it all so I can run my business intelligently, why can’t someone just dumb this down for me so I can run a retarded business that can fail at the first insurmountable obstacle…….

Your blog posts are so long, you should annotate your podcasts so I can just fast forward to the parts I want to see, I don’t have to read the entire book I just need the jist of it, real men don’t read manuals, my customers would never trust hosting.

You know who you are.

But guess what, it’s almost 2009, it’s cold out and the sophisticated IT providers that designed a layered business are now kicking ass. The bigger you are, the better you are doing. Size is not an exceptional indicator or obstructionist of success, I know a lot of one man shops who have kept their payroll slim and down right abused OnForce and the homeless computer fixer guys: “Clean your spyware for a penny, governor?” And now the stuff that I’ve been talking about for over a year as a clear and present trend in the IT space takes hold and you don’t want to hear how well that’s going? You’ve ignored it until yesterday and now you want to blame someone else for your misfortunes?

ExchangeDefender, one of the biggest content security networks on the planet and by far the dominant one in the SMB, has signed up a grand total of 1 SBS 2008 client (5 seats) and 0 EBS clients in over a month since their release. Yep, we track that too. My buddy Allen Miller from Cincinnati signed them up last week.

Look at the past 3 posts. When what you are doing isn’t producing desired results you change your business plan or you quit. Go read The Dip by Seth Godin.

If you are looking at me for constructive blog posts feel free to stroll through over three years of Vladville. Look at my friends Wayne Small, Susan Bradley… yeah, I know, she blogs a lot and you’re too busy blaming others for your misfortunes.

Grow the F up. Or face monster.com..

Hickory, Dickory, Dock….. OH!

As the world turns…

IT Business
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I’m writing this blog post at about 25,000 ft in a half empty plane heading to Dallas for a company party. With a ticket I bought yesterday, with a hotel and car rental for well under $500. Last year I would have paid that much for the flight alone. My biggest concern this year? Where to take my growing team in Orlando for the Xmas party.

I’m reading the latest BusinessWeek article (p. 64) titled: “The recession: What Top CEOs Are Thinking” and much like the rest of the magazine, it’s full of doom and gloom. One of the interesting questions is “What will it take to get the economy going again?” Here is what Dennis Dammerman, Former GE Vice Chairman has to say:

We’ve got to get consumers and business spending again. I think we’ve proved over the years that investment tax credits and faster depreciation increase equipment spending. For consumers, confidence is key. And while I don’t agree with much of what Barack Obama wants to do, I think that for a great chunk of our consuming public, he has improved that confidence. I hope this enthusiasm doesn’t die.

<randombs>This is one of the arguments I frequently have with my business friends when it comes to the chicken-egg conundrum. Does business investment in technology and solutions create jobs which increase employment, salaries and discretionary spending of the employees improve the economy? Or does the tax refund and economic incentive program put the money in the hands of consumers around which businesses spring up to collect the money and churn? Most business owners prefer to serve the demand for products and services because it’s far easier than creativity and funds that are required to generate the sense of need for the product! There is a huge difference between the two and it’s important to realize it because it drastically changes the type of a business you run and how you sort your priorities. Does most of your money go into advertising or R&D?</randombs>

For over a year now, many of my close friends and I had this long running argument about the economic downturn which has become a recession which is now heading for a depression. Those who chose to ignore it or not play a part in it are now suffering or have long shut their doors. Let me be clear on one thing: You don’t have the benefit of ignoring the markets. You can choose to believe that the economy is doing fine and pursue your direction of building a quality business that deserves a premium rate and can effectively market the benefits of your company over another. You can also choose to believe that economy is doing poorly and you focus on building a cost competitive business that can generate volume over slimmer profit margins.

What you cannot afford to do is to do nothing. Your ability to serve your market is contingent on that markets existence. Turn on the TV and you will see specific industries bitching and moaning about their prospects because their market virtually vanished due to the circumstances out of their control. Those who saw the signs and responded are now thriving and will emerge much stronger when and if the economic outlook becomes more positive.

What am I doing?

Around the middle of this year we had no choice but to discontinue several of the high margin products because our data center providers were running at capacity and the space utilization and power cost continued to skyrocket. With space and power at a premium there is no way to build cost-effective solutions, so you focus on being the best.

What a difference a few months make. The other day I was offered a 3 year contract from a major bandwidth provider for bandwidth at $5.80/Mbit. Data centers which previously housed companies that embraced riffraff are now gone and there is suddenly a deal to be made. Quality hardware is cheaper than ever and the companies that specialize in equipment salvage and off-lease gear have warehouses nearly packed. Not to mention that the last thing Dell wants is to spend more on shipping the off-lease equipment that’s about to be sent to them – Can we make a deal?

Now only if I had some expertise designing large-scale IT infrastructure…  Wait a minute!!! I did see a tweetie bird!

My point is..

That entrepreneurial jackasses do not see up and down economic cycles, they see the opportunity to create a business model that serves new found demand. The reason OWN has continued to skyrocket is because our solutions are built with the things people really want but don’t necessarily want to pay for it and build on their own.

I see 2009 developing a new market, the hagglers market. No middle man, no compromise, no bundles and no contracts. Just hit my card and let me get back to my business. Our business plan for 2009 was finalized last week and we are aiming to launch 4 new products in 2009 (one per quarter) that fill the demand on the extremely price conscious segment of the midmarket. The midmarket is ripe for services and we’ve shaken that tree all year long enough to notice that there is a polarization of sorts – high service and utilization vs. low cost self-service model.

Until now, we haven’t had a good answer for the bargain hunters and hagglers. Now we will. What about SMB? Frankly, we expect that to continue going downhill as there are less fish in the pond but also less, savvy fishers.

Every day I field calls from people who have a ton of demand and are just trying to fill it. My job is to come up with the solutions that answer that demand, and in 2009 I will have another company that is a damn near opposite of the one I have today. I do not believe one will erode the other as the markets self-identify the solutions built for them. Whatever they choose, it will lead to more money for me and more leads for my partners. And an MBA for my monkeys. And a Corvette ZR1 in every color 😉

If you have any ideas given the above, you know where to find me and how to work with US.

To the great white north….

OwnWebNow
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Craig-Mountie Please kindly move the polar bear, igloo and Celine Dion aboot 19″ to the left, Own Web Now is now in Canada:

  1. $10 / Exchange 2007 + SharePoint 2007 with 10GB storage.
  2. $1 / GB for Offsite Backup storage powered by AhSay.
  3. Web hosting, name services, SQL, etc.

So for all those of you that were afraid of the Patriot Act and our evil government touching your Brian Adams collection…. fear no more. We are now in Montreal, Toronto and have firm plans to expand our contract for Vancouver.

This is now the third country with native OWN enterprise-grade offsite backups, fifth native Exchange deployment and addresses all but one globalization objective we’ve set for 2008. Keeping our pricing globally I think makes a pretty significant statement when it comes to our dedication to our partners and the reliability of our network.

When can you get it? Today! Helllllllllloooo Canada!

Pursuit of Flaw – Part 2

IT Business
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Previous post was about the importance of change in the survival of enterprise.

But the last few months in America have been the celebration or at least massive reinforcement of failed business plans. From the banking and financing failures all the way to the auto industry bailouts and power corruption we are parading the panic of not being able to admit that things as they are do not compete.

So instead of changing… we’re just going to pour more money into something that failed and expecting it to change? How?

You know what I am really surprised at? That nobody from the newspaper and magazine industry has come up to ask for a bailout. The industry that has suffered the most by far has been the specialized and “breaking news” coverage a day or a week or at times a month later. Turns out here are better, more trusted, more enjoyable and more timely way to get information, even with a lot more variety. Even in our little SMB space, the trade rag has jumped the shark and been reduced to a few pages of ads coated in some self promotion (I guess that’s all that’s left when you take out Microsoft whoring) and that’s the one that hasn’t all but disappeared.

Are we seeing any of these industries making significant changes? When you look at it, most of the newspapers and magazines aren’t designed to spread information and provoke you to think (like Harvard Business Review for example) but to provide the bare minimum of relevant coverage to whore out as many pages to the advertisers as possible. The same hit that the newspapers got from the web is now being felt by the online media. Let’s face it, when you lose touch with your audience and only look at your ad revenues and focus on maximizing it instead of serving your audience…. what happens to your audience?

Same goes for the banking and credit industry.

Same goes for the auto and transportation industry.

They have lost their touch with the people and the consumers of their products. As a result, their products have started to suck and put more distance between their clients needs – there is no better example of this than US Airways noting that it will now charge it’s passengers for water! As Jay Leno mentioned last night: “the oxygen masks are now coin operated.”

You cannot resurrect bad ideas with more money.’

Sometimes though, it’s more comfortable to prolong the pain than to come to terms with failure/death. Every year, every December, every company needs to have a honest look at itself and its numbers and find out what to do with it’s disappointments.

Pursuit of Flaw – Part 1

IT Business, OwnWebNow
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First of all, apologies all around for the relative silence over the past few weeks. I realize that many on my own team, suppliers as well as customers look at this blog as an indication of what we are up to. Unfortunate side effect of that is that blog postings tend to remind people that I am alive which then launches an avalanche of emails and texts that interrupt some very important things we’ve been working on.

So to get us in shape for 2009 I’ve virtually faked my own death in a form of a “two week vacation” at the end of November. How some of you fell for it I’ll never understand, I worked on my honeymoon. The only sense in which that was a vacation was in the activity – I did not work on the operations of the company at all – but rather looking from the outside in making sure that we are on the right path, that the right problems get the priorities and that the right people get recognized for their talents and moved around to where their value is maximized.

That in itself is what makes companies great – and what makes management fun – constant change that helps serve more, better.

Changes in 2008

If you talk to any unsuccessful company – if they are even around anymore – the big note of 2008 seems to be the economy. This really is more of a sign of inexperience than anything else, I’ve lost the count of times that I’ve brought up the issues we currently face just to hear: “We will do what we always do, make slight adjustments in our approach as opportunities present themselves” – And how do you make a slight adjustment in direction when your line of credit gets cut in half and you managed your operations on the revolving line of credit? Bye-bye.

Then there is the flip side to this. Companies that prepared and aggressively pursued the strategy that is known to work have been in a state of perpetual growth pains. Fortunately or unfortunately (depending on how long it’s been since your last vacation) this is OWN – and many of our partners too. Every December brings the year to a slow close, allowing us to do massive maintenance, reorganize, check our performance, take breaks.

Not so much this year. In the first two weeks of December we’ve killed the revenue and profit #s for all of December of 2007. I’m willing to bet it is the same for our partners, the ability to reach a UK partner in December is nearly unheard of. The royal subjects tend to be the ones whose OOFs start at Thanksgiving letting us know that they’ll be out till January 10th. Not so much this year, everyone seems swamped and busy.

Going forward

The following are blog posts onto themselves but I’ll give you a brief summary of what is on my mind:

Strengthening alliances – in 2009 we’re set to extend our business alliances with MSPU, SecureMyCompany, ConnectWise, Autotask, Kaseya, LPI and SuperMicro. We are heading towards reducing the level of business we do with Microsoft, Dell, Cisco. People that were once competitors are now partners because the market demands it. People that are now suppliers are not going to be as significant because the demand isn’t there. I’m lazy, we respond to market demand (cash in hand) and not to the vapor of the supposed need..

Indirect service model – I’ve written extensively about our opportunities in the services business. At the present time, we are far too direct (be it in the support we extend to our partners, or our partners clients) and the future is in dumbing down the technology, not establishing technical barriers. Most of my current work is in reducing the overhead we have in answering the same @#%@#%#@% question over and over again.

Reducing distractions and interruptions – Gonna need some shields when this one comes out. As they say, it’s not personal, it’s just business.

Why break it if its working..

Because there is a long-term picture and then there is a short term strategy. What works right now is not going to work (well, at the same or higher profit margin) a year from now and if we’ve learned anything in 2008 it’s that the inability to change leads to the change for the worse.

We have a big December ahead of us, these last 3 weeks are going to be brutal. We will be using them to catch up, fix the outstanding problems that are still broken, cut the ties that are holding us back and celebrate a kickass 2008.

IT Book Bailout

Deals
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My buddy Karl is trying to help you in a down economy. Spend $20, get $8 off:

http://smallbizthoughts.blogspot.com/2008/12/end-of-year-sale.html

If you haven’t looked through Karl’s stuff before let me offer you my advice. Get Karl’s Managed Services in a Month for $19.95 and Dave Sobel’s Building a Referral System for $9.99. That brings the total to under $30 and with the bailout cupon that’s $22. Set a weekend aside between now and new years and get your managed on.

People are struggling right now and one thing they definitely cannot afford is big IT bills. Put the info up there to a good use to establish a low cost MSP practice that can build referrals and offer just the basic monitoring and patching that you can do with even free tools. Then make the clients market it for you.

How do you compete in a recession?

IT Business
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Assert confidence.

Pick on those less fortunate and snag the solid clients who are looking for something more stable.

kickthemwhentheyaredown

As discussed before, businesses are built on relationships. People don’t head into relationships with companies that look like they won’t be around in a few months. Or ones that are cutting down their services. Or ones that are running knock-them-out-of-the-ball-park promotions to make numbers look good. Or the ones that seem to have a new temp person to talk to every time you contact them.

Business is about making money.

That is the one thing that has not changed with the times.

What has changed is the perception of the reality and the attitudes of solid companies and savvy business managers. They know that this is the time to strike deals. This is the time to bend over the service suppliers and dangle the carrot of opportunity in front of people who cannot see the stick or the rope. Do you want to know what they are thinking?

Hiring a consultant full time?

If s/he was any good, would she be looking for a job?

That is the reality.

The water is rising and the rats are running to the big pieces of wood.

If you run your marketing and solutions correctly can you imagine what you’ll be able to do once things start looking better?

Oh so it’s like that now?

OwnWebNow
3 Comments

When your parents name you Vladimir you get to grow up with a sense of humor when it comes to name butchering. But this one is actually quite amusing 😉

PIC-0048

Bone Web Now. I like the sound of that!

Chrome out of Beta!

Google
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Ok, this is perhaps the most exciting download since RTM released an iPhone download. Google has let the Google Chrome web browser out of beta. Go get it!

I was a little quick to judge the Google Chrome when it initially came out but since Shockey Monkey development (for the SM offline use) has been tied to Google’s Gears and this is by far the fastest and most stable web browser I’ve ever had. So if you dismissed it like I did, this might be a good time to take a second look at it.